The Los Angeles Rams know better than most how crucial elite quarterback play is to winning at the highest level. Their 13-3 loss to the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LIII exposed the limitations of their offense, as they failed to score a touchdown—an issue that intensified head coach Sean McVay’s doubts about Jared Goff.

Although Goff initially found success under McVay after being drafted first overall in 2016, concerns about his physical tools and decision-making grew over time. This ultimately led to a blockbuster 2021 trade with the Detroit Lions, where the Rams acquired Matthew Stafford. The move paid off immediately, delivering a Super Bowl LVI victory and later culminating in Stafford earning MVP honors in 2025.

Given that history, the Rams’ decision to draft Ty Simpson with the 13th overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft stands out as a significant risk. Simpson, who has just one full season as a college starter, doesn’t possess overwhelming physical traits and follows a historically inconsistent path for quarterbacks entering the NFL with limited experience.

Statistically, Simpson’s 2025 season was strong, with over 3,500 passing yards, 28 touchdowns, and just five interceptions. However, a deeper look reveals inconsistencies. His efficiency dropped under pressure, though he performed better against the blitz and showed some mobility outside the pocket.

According to Doug Farrar, Simpson’s tape reveals more concerns than his stats suggest. His biggest issue is a lack of anticipation—he often waits too long to throw, which can lead to missed opportunities or risky passes. This hesitation also makes his intentions easier for defenders to read, a flaw that could be amplified against more complex NFL defenses.

While he has shown the ability to make deep throws and extend plays, Simpson doesn’t possess elite arm talent, often relying on receivers to create separation. His late-season dip in form—partly attributed to illness and injury—further complicates his evaluation, though the underlying concerns were present even during his early success.

Ultimately, Simpson projects as a relatively safe but limited option—a quarterback who can function within a structured system but may struggle to elevate an offense. That profile contrasts sharply with the aggressive move the Rams once made to upgrade from Goff to Stafford.

General manager Les Snead appears confident in the pick, though McVay’s level of enthusiasm is less clear. For now, Simpson will have the benefit of learning behind Stafford, who is set to return for another season.

Still, the decision raises questions. After once recognizing the need to move on from a limited quarterback to reach the next level, the Rams may now be risking a step backward by investing heavily in a player with similar concerns.